The Mathematical Derivation The Graphical Simulatorįour Technical Working Notes: Variation in the Value of ESS Residual Uncertainty in the Value of ESS Up-date on some key Variables Confusion around the meaning of “Fast Feedbacks” Towards a Robust Value for Earth System Sensitivity The Forcing effects of change in CO2 Concentrationįeedback Dynamics and the Amplification of CO2 ForcingĮvaluation of Modelled Values of Climate Sensitivity Response of the Planetary Climate to Changes in Surface Temperature Temperature response to Changes in CO2 Concentration Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget Table of Contents Page No.īrief Introduction to the Apollo-Gaia Project My subject of “Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget” raises two of the most fundamental issues that determine our strategy, against which we must judge the effectiveness of our solutions, and in the light of which we can assess the appropriateness of our policy. The role of Climate Science is to delineate those problems. If Climate Change Solutions are to be fit for purpose, they must deal with the reality of Climate Change Problems. I am most grateful to Tony McNally, Director of Climate Change Solutions for his invitation to introduce this presentation during the session on the Science Challenge of Climate Change. Presentation Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget The Ultimate Challenge of Climate Science Essential references are provided as active links within the text. For ease of access, the visual basis of the analysis has been retained, and the commentary kept in the style of spoken English. It has subsequently been completely revised and up-dated for wider circulation. The Presentation was introduced on 4th March at the Climate Challenge 2014 Conference, Convened by Climate Change Solutions, and held in the I-Max Theatre of the Millennium Point complex in Birmingham during International Climate Week. Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget The Ultimate Challenge of Climate Science Presented byĭavid Wasdell (Director of the Apollo-Gaia Project*)
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